Precision25
PA ASYM-1D · TOP-2 · 90D HOLD W/ 6-STAGE SCALE-OUT · FLAT SIZING▶About this strategy — what it is, what it looks for, how it operates
A long-only capitulation-bounce strategy. It buys beaten-down stocks a path-aware model judges are genuine capitulation bottoms — not falling knives — then holds while scaling out in pieces.
- Looks forstocks in the bottom 40% of their 52-week range that the model predicts won't whipsaw lower the day after entry
- The labeltrained on whether a stock reaches +30% within 30 days without dropping -15% the day after entry — the immediate-after-entry whipsaw is the one thing reliably predictable
- Universe~500-name stock universe; leveraged/inverse ETFs excluded
- Operatestop-2 picks per day; 90-day hold with six equal scale-out slices at days 15/30/45/60/75/90; no stops
Backtest — 5-fold walk-forward, honest true-daily marks (2024-01 → 2026-05)
Sharpe
1.20
Win rate
47%
CAGR
+76.8%
Max DD
-40.7%
Backtest numbers, not live results — measured on honest true-daily marks across a 5-fold walk-forward with 10bps costs. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
TOTAL P&L
+$83
+3.99% on $2,087 deployed
REGIME PAUSED
VIX 17.2
PERFORMANCE
RETURN
+3.99%
+$83 on capital deployed
SHARPE
1.71
annualized
WIN RATE
40.00%
20W / 30L
MAX DD
-22.38%
worst drawdown
REALIZED P&L
+$79
50 closed trades
UNREALIZED P&L
+$5
106 open positions
LONG EXPOSURE
$1,423
net +$1,423
SHORT EXPOSURE
$0
gross $1,423
Last scan: 9/16/2026, 10:17:23 AM
Next scan: in 50h 59m (22:00 UTC weekday)
Open Positions106 held · live MTM
Loading...
Recent Closed Tradeslast 50 closed · most recent first
| SIDE | TICKER | ENTRY | EXIT | PROFIT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | RDDT | $174.41 | $159.63 | $-1 -8.47% | |
| LONG | UPST | $32.10 | $25.28 | $-1 -21.25% | |
| LONG | BMNR | $16.98 | $25.76 | +$2 +51.71% | |
| LONG | CGC | $0.99 | $0.94 | $-0 -4.96% | |
| LONG | SBET | $5.91 | $9.15 | +$2 +54.82% | |
| LONG | SG | $9.15 | $7.25 | $-3 -20.77% | |
| LONG | SMR | $9.80 | $10.21 | $-1 +4.24% | |
| LONG | LWLG | $10.00 | $5.16 | $-4 -48.40% | |
| LONG | RUN | $12.02 | $8.80 | $-2 -26.79% | |
| LONG | WIX | $45.00 | $74.23 | +$5 +64.96% | |
| LONG | CAR | $180.75 | $133.84 | $-2 -25.95% | |
| LONG | CRML | $10.00 | $7.32 | $-3 -26.80% | |
| LONG | INTU | $295.20 | $318.93 | +$0 +8.04% | |
| LONG | BYND | $0.75 | $11.21 | +$69 +1389.70% | |
| LONG | USAR | $22.24 | $17.66 | $-2 -20.59% | |
| LONG | HTZ | $5.22 | $2.18 | $-8 -58.14% | |
| LONG | AI | $10.48 | $10.90 | $-1 +4.01% | |
| LONG | LCID | $5.66 | $4.60 | +$1 -18.73% | |
| LONG | SNAP | $5.78 | $5.59 | $-2 -3.37% | |
| LONG | TEAM | $105.49 | $186.44 | +$2 +76.74% | |
| LONG | TDOC | $7.40 | $6.26 | +$1 -15.41% | |
| LONG | IOVA | $4.10 | $8.28 | +$4 +102.01% | |
| LONG | SEDG | $73.00 | $32.20 | $-5 -55.89% | |
| LONG | TLRY | $5.46 | $4.57 | $-2 -16.30% | |
| LONG | CRWV | $130.00 | $84.89 | $-4 -34.70% | |
| LONG | TTD | $21.98 | $13.72 | $-3 -37.57% | |
| LONG | CMPX | $2.43 | $2.52 | $-1 +3.70% | |
| LONG | REPL | $7.92 | $15.60 | +$5 +96.97% | |
| LONG | PROP | $0.94 | $0.53 | $-3 -44.04% | |
| LONG | PLUG | $4.14 | $2.17 | $-6 -47.52% | |
| LONG | RZLV | $2.53 | $2.91 | +$1 +15.02% | |
| LONG | OKLO | $66.48 | $41.60 | $-4 -37.42% | |
| LONG | RILY | $10.42 | $7.22 | $-4 -30.71% | |
| LONG | LAES | $3.41 | $2.54 | $-3 -25.56% | |
| LONG | SMCI | $36.00 | $35.17 | $-2 -2.31% | |
| LONG | BILL | $36.10 | $48.16 | +$2 +33.41% | |
| LONG | RXRX | $3.08 | $3.34 | +$1 +8.44% | |
| LONG | GLXY | $29.60 | $23.47 | $-2 -20.71% | |
| LONG | CVNA | $64.21 | $70.44 | +$1 +9.70% | |
| LONG | FIG | $22.30 | $26.79 | +$1 +20.13% | |
| LONG | BULL | $7.02 | $7.93 | +$0 +12.96% | |
| LONG | ENPH | $47.92 | $37.58 | $-0 -21.58% | |
| LONG | ASPI | $5.14 | $4.02 | +$1 -21.79% | |
| LONG | AMC | $1.35 | $2.44 | +$10 +80.74% | |
| LONG | ENVX | $6.17 | $3.60 | $-1 -41.73% | |
| LONG | FFAI | $0.39 | $3.72 | +$43 +863.73% | |
| LONG | BTDR | $14.10 | $8.76 | $-0 -37.87% | |
| LONG | SPCE | $2.70 | $3.14 | +$5 +16.30% | |
| LONG | ASST | $16.83 | $12.39 | $-2 -26.38% | |
| LONG | CRCL | $123.60 | $71.28 | $-5 -42.33% |