Precision25
PA ASYM-1D · TOP-2 · 90D HOLD W/ 6-STAGE SCALE-OUT · FLAT SIZING▶About this strategy — what it is, what it looks for, how it operates
A long-only capitulation-bounce strategy. It buys beaten-down stocks a path-aware model judges are genuine capitulation bottoms — not falling knives — then holds while scaling out in pieces.
- Looks forstocks in the bottom 40% of their 52-week range that the model predicts won't whipsaw lower the day after entry
- The labeltrained on whether a stock reaches +30% within 30 days without dropping -15% the day after entry — the immediate-after-entry whipsaw is the one thing reliably predictable
- Universe~500-name stock universe; leveraged/inverse ETFs excluded
- Operatestop-2 picks per day; 90-day hold with six equal scale-out slices at days 15/30/45/60/75/90; no stops
Backtest — 5-fold walk-forward, honest true-daily marks (2024-01 → 2026-05)
Sharpe
1.20
Win rate
47%
CAGR
+76.8%
Max DD
-40.7%
Backtest numbers, not live results — measured on honest true-daily marks across a 5-fold walk-forward with 10bps costs. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
TOTAL P&L
+$148
+10.64% on $1,392 deployed
REGIME PAUSED
VIX 16.0
PERFORMANCE
RETURN
+10.64%
+$148 on capital deployed
SHARPE
2.18
annualized
WIN RATE
—
0 closed (104 open)
MAX DD
-16.35%
worst drawdown
REALIZED P&L
$0
0 closed trades
UNREALIZED P&L
+$148
104 open positions
LONG EXPOSURE
$1,540
net +$1,540
SHORT EXPOSURE
$0
gross $1,540
Last scan: 8/4/2026, 10:13:36 AM
Next scan: in 22h 8m (22:00 UTC weekday)
Open Positions104 held · live MTM
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