ML K5/H60 · 0.30 Hedge

ML K5/H60 PLUS A 0.30-UNIT SPY SHORT · RESIDUAL BETA 0.31 · PURGED SHARPE 0.76 NOT 1.99 · PAPER
About this strategy — what it is, what it looks for, how it operates

The identical ML K5/H60 book with a standing short of 0.30 SPY units per dollar of book value. A long/short structure is often assumed to be market-neutral; this one is not — the raw book carries beta 0.614 because the long leg is systematically higher-beta than the short leg. This series tracks the configuration that would actually be traded rather than inferring it from the unhedged one.

  • Overlayshort 0.30 × book value in SPY shares, resized at each monthly cohort rebalance, not chased daily
  • Effect on riskbeta 0.614 → 0.314; average loss on the 10 worst SPY days −1.60% → −0.59%; worst single day −4.49% → −3.02%
  • Costbacktest Sharpe 1.99 → 1.86, return +35.4% → +29.1%/yr. Full neutrality (0.61 units) would cost 0.46 Sharpe for little further vol reduction, so 0.30 is the efficient point on the curve
  • At $10k$5k long + $5k short stocks + ~$3k short SPY = $13k gross, ~$6.5k Reg T margin
  • Honest caveatthe hedge is a linear overlay on the same paper book — it inherits every caveat of ML K5/H60, including that the backtest headline should be haircut roughly in half. Paper only, no orders.
Backtest — 5-fold walk-forward, honest true-daily marks (2024-01 → 2026-05)
Sharpe
~0.7 (purged)
Win rate
CAGR
~+11% (purged)
Max DD

Backtest numbers, not live results — measured on honest true-daily marks across a 5-fold walk-forward with 10bps costs. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

TOTAL P&L
-$21
-0.17% on $13,000 deployed
REGIME PAUSED
VIX
PERFORMANCE
RETURN
-0.17%
-$21 on capital deployed
SHARPE
need 17 more days
WIN RATE
0 closed (31 open)
MAX DD
-1.25%
worst drawdown
REALIZED P&L
$0
0 closed trades
UNREALIZED P&L
-$21
31 open positions
LONG EXPOSURE
$5,709
net -$3,021
SHORT EXPOSURE
$8,731
gross $14,440

Open Positions31 held · live MTM

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